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Not as Bad as it Feels
The July US payrolls report was the catalyst for a rash of recession fears, prompting the mini crash in risk assets and a...
Alex Haseldine
Aug 6, 20243 min read
18 views

What Could Possibly Go Wrong?
A quick update of World Wealth and the US Real Equity Return Cycle.
Jonathan Wilmot
Feb 29, 20244 min read
26 views


What a Difference an AI Makes
Nvidia latest earnings report had more market impact than all of last week's busy macro calendar put together...
Jonathan Wilmot
Feb 27, 20241 min read
34 views

The Missing Link
In Narrative Economics Robert Shiller documents how asset prices are often driven by stories: narratives that may be true, half true or....
Jonathan Wilmot
May 29, 20230 min read
21 views

31 views

Have We Got The Energy?
It's only a slight simplification to say that energy prices remain the swing variable in the outlook for global growth...
Jonathan Wilmot
Jan 31, 20230 min read
9 views


Perception Gaps
At the global equity market peak last year, financial assets were strongly outperforming the real economy, a state we refer to as bearish...
Jonathan Wilmot
Oct 20, 20223 min read
25 views


When the Fed Panics What Does the Market Do?
Panic is the short answer. Some thoughts on the longer answer below…..
Jonathan Wilmot
Sep 28, 20226 min read
38 views

Dreams, Memes and Nightmares
Even before Omicron surfaced there had been a deep and wide correction to most of the meme stocks, as well as the “transformation” stocks..
Jonathan Wilmot
Dec 7, 20210 min read
3 views
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