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Alex Haseldine
Aug 6, 20243 min read
Not as Bad as it Feels
The July US payrolls report was the catalyst for a rash of recession fears, prompting the mini crash in risk assets and a...
16 views
Jonathan Wilmot
Feb 29, 20244 min read
What Could Possibly Go Wrong?
A quick update of World Wealth and the US Real Equity Return Cycle.
26 views
Jonathan Wilmot
Feb 27, 20241 min read
What a Difference an AI Makes
Nvidia latest earnings report had more market impact than all of last week's busy macro calendar put together...
34 views
Jonathan Wilmot
May 28, 20230 min read
The Missing Link
In Narrative Economics Robert Shiller documents how asset prices are often driven by stories: narratives that may be true, half true or....
20 views
Jonathan Wilmot
Jan 31, 20230 min read
Have We Got The Energy?
It's only a slight simplification to say that energy prices remain the swing variable in the outlook for global growth...
9 views
Jonathan Wilmot
Oct 20, 20223 min read
Perception Gaps
At the global equity market peak last year, financial assets were strongly outperforming the real economy, a state we refer to as bearish...
25 views
Jonathan Wilmot
Sep 28, 20226 min read
When the Fed Panics What Does the Market Do?
Panic is the short answer. Some thoughts on the longer answer below…..
38 views
Jonathan Wilmot
Dec 7, 20210 min read
Dreams, Memes and Nightmares
Even before Omicron surfaced there had been a deep and wide correction to most of the meme stocks, as well as the “transformation” stocks..
2 views
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